on wednesday, beijing time (february 22), philadelphia fed chairman and 2017 fomc voting member patrick harker gave a speech on the economic outlook.
harker said that he expects the federal reserve to raise interest rates three times in 2017. gradual interest rate increases are a prudent move; the three expected rate increases have nothing to do with fiscal policy.
harkersaidthatthefedhasnotyetmadeadecisiononthe”newnormal”ofitsbalancesheetandhasnotyetdecidedwhentoshrinkitsbalancesheet.
huckbelievesthatconsumptiongrowthwillbestrongerin2017,pushingtheeconomicgrowthto2%.
healsosaidthatthelabormarkethasreturnedtoamoreorlessfullyhealthystate,butthereisstillroomforfurtherwageincreases;duetothetighteningofthelabormarket,signsofinflationarebeginningtoappear,andthereisariskofinflationovershooting;itisexpectedthatpersonalconsumerspendingandinflationareexpectedtoreach2%thisyearornext.
healsosaidthatheisdeeplyconcernedaboutthethreatstothefed’spolicyindependence,butthatthefedcancommunicatebetter;hedoesnotbelievethatthefedandforeigncentralbankswillbeinastateofpolicydifferentiationforalongtime;thelevelofstudentdebtintheunitedstatesisveryseriousproblem.
(original title: fed harker: expected to raise interest rates three times this year, economic growth may reach 2%)
(editor: df318)
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